- Tough one. I bid 7 but I am prepared to apologize.
- 7, but you already asked me this. [This was from Puerto Vallarta.
David's answer then was, "who's my partner?" Pretty good answer, I think. --Jeff]
- 7. With just the Q, no way. With just the Q and the A, no, but maybe.
With the Q, A, and K, it's hard for partner to have even a gambling 6 bid
that won't have a play opposite this.
It is a tough call and it is a situation that comes up very rarely in a single
bridge lifetime. I have seen all three scenarios, I think:
The other scenarios are much more frequent:
- 6 is the right contract, the other hand passes, and 12 tricks precisely are made.
Scenario 2 is the nightmare scenario. You need at least two or three, if not five or six,
Scenario 3s to compensate for one Scenario 2.
- The partner (Advancer) bids seven, based perhaps on the A and another smidgen.
The A does not pull weight and 7 goes down one.
- Advancer considers bidding seven, holding a zillion critical cards, doesn't,
and the grand is cold.
As I suggested, it's useful to construct the worst possible hand partner could
have for his 6 bid:
If the club queen helps:
- Kxx A AKTxxxxxx Even opposite that we can play to squeeze one guy
between the A and the long spades. Is that a 6 bid?
- QJx A AKJTxxxxx Marginal 6 bid, and I have been working to construct
hands where the Q doesn't help. (The 6 bidder has ten of them.)
- A AQTx AKJTxxxx then we are almost definitely cold.
- Pass. Partner was expecting the club finesse to win if necessary.
Could make seven, of course.
I bet the other table would not have bid seven with screens.
- Pass. Yes I have a great hand but partner has bid part of it
already. For example, he is already betting he has no club losers (e.g., AKJ-8th).
- 7. Partner has already bid some of my hand, but these cards are
- 7. I really want to pass this, but the only constructions I've
had where it is a bad grand involve either a diamond void a heart loser
to go with an 10-card suit. Sure partner is entitled to play us for a cover,
but we have at least two and usually three.
- I am a wimp pass but would not be surprised if grand made. Typically,
I would be slightly more sanguine about prospects of grand if the hand was
changed and bidding had been a jump to 6 of another suit – as sometimes
the risk of partner pre-emption by jump following a double when holding
the lowest ranking suit, necessitates different action.
- Pass. Would partner jump to 6 with KQ QJT AKJTxxxx
or Kx Axx AKJTxxxx or KQ AQJx AT9xxxx? I think they are all reasonable
6 bids but some would choose to bid 5 instead. Since my hand would
pass a 5 bid by partner, it is not unlikely that we will win double-digit
IMPs just for getting to 6. Although any of these a couple of these
example hands might make 7, but you would prefer to be in 6 (especially
when your opponents are in 5).
- So, if the sequence had gone "2-P-P-6" I think that this bid
has a clear meaning of "I have a one loser hand in six clubs". In that
case, I would have an easy 7 bid. I think it probably should mean the
same thing in the present circumstance, but high preempts jam the bidding
space, and partner may be squeezed for a decision. However, I still have a
really nice hand for him, so I will bid 7 anyway. It's not always possible
to make the right decision after high preempts.
- Pass. I don't want to venture seven on this auction. Partner may
have won the board already. Returning with a grand down one when opponents
were in game isn't nice.
- JEFF AT THE TABLE
- wasn't there. This was partner's problem. I don't often
give problems where partner got it wrong, because it smacks too much of
beating on partner, but this problem is so good that I had to.
I vote for bidding. I know that I was partner's partner, and my bidding
is usually pretty sound. The only partner I've had who is still alive and
has enough experience playing with me to be able to evaluate his decision
on that basis bid, so that adds to my confidence. And it makes it a 50-50
OK, now that's a problem!
- WINNING ACTION
- Bid 7. Partner had KQx A Ax AKJ109xx. At the table, my
partner passed. Her counterpart at the other table bid 7. That cost us
the match and the event. She asked me if I thought she should bid. I
answered, "I don't know, and if someone told me he did, I wouldn't believe
- JEFF UPON REFLECTION
- This is probably the best bidding problem I've seen
Chris suggested that a downside of bidding 7 is that it may precipitate
a save in 7. I think that's unlikely. The opponents know we are guessing,
and a phantom save is a massive disaster. RHO could have nine or ten solid
hearts; then he might save, but we probably would have detected such
consideration over 6. I did the IMP analysis. It turns out to be closer
than I thought. If we assume that we are going for 1100 and that our
teammates are in 6, then it is break even to save if they make 56% of the
time. I would have guessed it was a lot worse.